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It’s the Spending, Stupid (or ‘How a $115 Billion Accounting Entry Is Misleading the Nation About the Deficit’)

September 4th, 2010

Federal spending is out of control. Even the nominal spending and deficit reductions claimed by the Congressional Budget Office aren’t real.

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Note: This column went up at Pajamas Media and was teased here at BizzyBlog on Wednesday.

Thanks to Real Clear Politics for linking to the PJM column.

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The August Employment Situation Report (090310)

September 4th, 2010

The run-up:

  • As noted yesterday, ADP’s employment report showed 10,000 private sector jobs lost.
  • Also as noted yesterday, the Wall Street Journal carried a prediction that “the unemployment rate is “expected to creep up to 9.6% as U.S. employers drop another 110,000 people off the payrolls.” Just in time for the disengaged to start paying attention.”
  • Here’s the Associated Press, as of early Thursday evening: “The Labor Department is forecast to report Friday that private businesses added a net total of only 41,000 jobs last month, the fourth straight month of anemic hiring. When government jobs are included, total payrolls are forecast to drop by 100,000 – based mostly on about 115,000 temporary census jobs ending. The jobless rate is projected to rise to 9.6 percent from 9.5 percent, according to Thomson Reuters. Many economists expect growth to proceed at such a weak pace that the unemployment rate could top 10 percent by next year.”
  • I haven’t previously commented on the government’s productivity report released yesterday. While manufacturing productivity ticked up nicely at an annualized +4.1% during the second quarter (meaning an actual 1.02%), productivity everywhere else fell by an annualized 1.9%. The AP’s interpretation of this is that companies might be forced to hire people whether they really want to or not. I don’ think so. If manufacturing stays flat, those entities will be able to get by with the people they have. In services, if topline revenues aren’t increasing, companies won’t be able to afford extra people, and will try to work those on board harder, especially those who are salaried (the second quarter result may indicate that such efforts have diminishing returns).

This Month’s Benchmark

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Positivity: Spanish officials thank Catholic Church for ‘important role’ in release of Cuban prisoners

September 4th, 2010

From Havana, Cuba:

Sep 2, 2010 / 10:04 pm

During a visit to Cuba, two officials from Spain’s Socialist Party expressed gratitude to the Catholic Church for its “important role” in securing the release of several political prisoners.

Leire Pajin and Elena Valenciano from the Socialist Party, praised the release of political prisoners in Cuba and announced that six more newly-freed dissidents will be arriving in Spain tomorrow.

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Bad News Out of GM Is Not News at AP

September 4th, 2010

APheartsGM081210The news out of Government/General Motors the past couple of days hasn’t been particularly good.

First, August sales results were disappointing. Second, it become known today that GM will attempt to go public on November 18, a later than originally hoped post-election date chosen to hopefully allow for another reported quarterly profit to boost investors’ appetite for its shares.

As so often has been the case during Democratic administrations when unfavorable developments arise, the UK press has seen potential problems with the IPO, while the Associated Press has been acting as if all is well.

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AP Howler of the Day: Kasich ‘Keeping Pace’ With Strickland in OH Guv Race

September 4th, 2010

KasichAndStrickland0910Talk about an in-kind contribution.

In a short item about a Democratic Governors Association election complaint about Ohio GOP gubernatorial candidate John Kasich, the Associated Press’s Julie Carr Smyth showed that she is willfully ignoring Buckeye State reality, or has been living a hermit’s existence for the past few months.

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A Mixed Bag, Halfway Through the Big Econ Reports

September 4th, 2010

I say we’re “halfway” because the two big ones coming in tomorrow (Uncle Sam’s Employment Situation Report and the Institute for Supply Management’s Non Manufacturing Survey) will have about that much relative impact.

Here are quick looks and quick takes on what’s come in thus far.

ISM Manufacturing

As announced yesterday, it went up to 56.3 in August from 55.5 in July, indicating very strong expansion (any reading above 50% indicates expansion). The stock market really liked it.

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Lucid Links (090210, Morning)

September 4th, 2010

Do you remember during the final months of the 2008 presidential campaign when candidate Barack Obama petulantly a crowd that he wouldn’t take their guns away, because “Even if I want to take them away, I don’t have the votes in Congress”?

The implication that Obama and his administration would be have no ability to curb gun rights once in power has been proven false in the past few weeks.

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Positivity: Knights of Columbus support Mexican bishops’ freedom of expression

September 4th, 2010

From Mexico City:

Aug 31, 2010 / 11:57 am

The Knights of Columbus in Mexico have expressed their solidarity with the country’s bishops for their courageous, firm and respectful opposition to the Mexican Supreme Court’s recent rulings on abortion, same-sex “marriage” and adoption by gay couples.

“Mexico is a free, plural and democratic country where persons and institutions have the right and duty to express their opinions on issues that have to do with national public life,” the Knights said in a statement.

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This Week’s Links

September 4th, 2010

The 10 water laws of the Western US.

How to know you’re an American (or, what American culture is).

60 ways to increase your influence online.

The Notorious PhD has insightful articles about culture–like this one–on his blog.

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This Week’s Weird Jobs

September 4th, 2010


Sometimes, you need to figure out for yourself what a job poster is trying to say. Image: Criterion/Flickr

Job descriptions that don’t really describe anything are all too common on job boards. This week’s #2 and #5 are cases in point:

1. Indiana: Presto Heater/Costco Merchandiser

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